Issued: 0530hrs Monday 3rd October 2022
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson

Risk of a thundery shower southern Spain

Monday
Dry and fine across Portugal and much of Spain, though thundery showers will develop through southern and central areas of Spain moving into the southeast later. One or two reaching the western Balearics but mostly dry across the islands. Largely dry and fine through the rest of the Mediterranean though the odd spot of rain in southern Italy.
Any morning showers through France will soon fizzle out thanks to high pressure across much of west and central Europe. Poland sees showery rain and blustery conditions associated with low pressure the east. Showery, breezy and cool across much of eastern Europe, though drier for Hungary and much of the Balkans.
A ridge of high pressure nudges into southern Scandinavia bringing a generally a dry and fine day for Denmark, but a fresh breeze. Much of Norway and Sweden are also dry and fine with plenty of sunny spells. Showery in the north. Wind with outbreaks of rain affecting the Baltic states and perhaps southeast Finland but dry with light winds around the northern Baltic Sea.

Tuesday
High pressure extends across central and southwestern Europe bringing extensive dry and fine autumn weather. Lots of warm sunshine for Spain and Portugal, risk of local showers around the Balearics. Chance of a shower too for Sicily and Sardinia, otherwise Italy will by dry.
A scattering of showers for Romania and near the Black Sea coast of Turkey, but Greece should be generally dry. Previous showers clear from Poland to leave a bright and breezy day.
Fine with light winds for France, Germany and the Alps. Some morning fog patches. Breezier for the Low Countries and Denmark. Rain moves into Norway from the west and turns heavy as southwesterly winds strengthen toward gale force. Dry most of the day for Sweden and the Baltic region. Areas of showery rain inland across Finland.