Tropical Storm NICHOLAS Advisory mar, 14.09.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

STENNIS MS     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BURAS LA       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   4( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  3   X( 3)   3( 6)   5(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  3   2( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  3   2( 5)   8(13)   5(18)   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  3   2( 5)   7(12)   6(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  4   3( 7)   5(12)   4(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FORT POLK LA   34  4   7(11)   7(18)   3(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)

LAKE CHARLES   34  8  10(18)  14(32)   3(35)   3(38)   X(38)   X(38)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAMERON LA     34 12  10(22)  12(34)   4(38)   4(42)   X(42)   X(42)
CAMERON LA     50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JASPER TX      34 14  13(27)   7(34)   1(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)
JASPER TX      50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KOUNTZE TX     34 45  14(59)   4(63)   1(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)
KOUNTZE TX     50  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 42  11(53)   5(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GALVESTON TX   34 96   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GALVESTON TX   50 21   2(23)   X(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
GALVESTON TX   64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HOUSTON TX     34 89   2(91)   X(91)   X(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
HOUSTON TX     50 27   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
HOUSTON TX     64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

AUSTIN TX      34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50 89   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
FREEPORT TX    64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 77   3(80)   1(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  5   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ROCKPORT TX    34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  3   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH