Tropical Storm COLIN Advisory sab, 02.07.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032022
0900 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   5( 5)   7(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  1   8( 9)   7(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

RALEIGH NC     34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ROCKY MT NC    34  2  10(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  2  13(15)  18(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  8   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

CHERRY PT NC   34  6  27(33)   3(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
CHERRY PT NC   50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW RIVER NC   34  6  29(35)   8(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  7  33(40)   5(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SURF CITY NC   34 27  24(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
SURF CITY NC   50  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

WILMINGTON NC  34 28  18(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
WILMINGTON NC  50  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 49  10(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FLORENCE SC    34 10   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

COLUMBIA SC    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LITTLE RIVER   34 55   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
LITTLE RIVER   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 58   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CHARLESTON SC  34 17   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG